Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 20.399026 23.846839 28.039744 33.628594 41.069832 50.933308 65.558519
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 16.304569 20.239380 25.513609 33.431598 45.696190 65.406480 103.460513
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 14.235866 18.379504 24.310717 34.010689 50.919021 83.047808 164.310027
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.411738 16.424974 22.416833 32.795009 52.473503 95.072861 232.785593
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.275171 15.251731 21.419009 32.689231 55.897587 113.595089 367.169554
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.086988 13.826935 19.764110 30.986343 55.380787 122.220837 501.433949
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.025992 12.478474 18.042597 28.795886 53.041426 124.218828 621.442035
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.212302 11.442219 16.720239 27.133498 51.442039 127.842745 802.693036
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.418663 12.056812 18.304190 31.605510 67.127709 216.865666 7567.042077
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.228100 11.987115 18.647636 33.556161 77.317878 312.165954 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.629242 11.165061 17.482733 31.817583 75.031480 324.935902 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.404182 10.972190 17.497671 32.885275 83.022172 451.217399 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.995755 10.446298 16.847892 32.311466 85.305708 549.111375 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.666383 10.037517 16.390683 32.154530 89.406629 718.065047 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.432962 9.782055 16.213216 32.700309 97.142638 1089.548690 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.079898 9.280770 15.472653 31.553565 96.327371 1267.254093 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.843152 8.979248 15.124306 31.453726 100.912440 1855.410762 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.509341 8.476009 14.301964 29.845195 96.600600 1898.803188 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.162298 7.932131 13.358401 27.772481 89.029846 1627.135953 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.874813 7.488879 12.607993 26.196633 83.848460 1515.062843 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.032857 7.895154 13.733010 30.430335 116.116936 19847.554997 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.000502 7.932289 14.044595 32.271698 137.360205 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.759163 7.545986 13.350791 30.630679 129.756877 NaN NaN